AXOFUND

Live read

What regime is the market in?

Our production systems classify each day into one of seven regimes — trending up or down, mean-reverting, high or low volatility, risk-on, risk-off — from public market data, using standard published methods. The label below is the same one our own evaluation machinery consumes. It is published as information, not advice, and a day late by design.

Regime is context, not a trade trigger. The interesting question is the second table: which method families have historically earned their keep in which states.

This read has not updated recently — treat the label below as historical, not current.

Current state

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The last 90 days

30-day mix

90-day mix

Which methods favour which states

Direction only, from our own realised trade history: + favourable, unfavourable, · neutral, blank where the sample is too thin to say. Magnitudes, sample sizes and anything that would calibrate a strategy stay internal — that asymmetry is the point of publishing this at all.

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